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JAMES' PERSONAL WRITINGS: SLOVING
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9.15.2012

Loving, here: Ecocide: Being averted another way?

Ecocide:  Being averted another way?   (check my numbers below, pls advise if you see major errors)

I don't know.  The one or two that have followed my writings in the last 6 months know I've hinted, occasionally, that I know Pr. Obama and his Chu,
A. Know the Ecocide problem, and
B. Are aggressively attacking it with R&D.

My demand, my campaign, my life has been committed to getting the deadly wreckage costs of coal and oil, ON THE CONSUMER'S BILL TODAY, OFF THE CHILDREN'S BILL 10 years from now.  Doing so, aside from fundamental  morality, instantly changes the economics, makes the market True, the market costs True, basically obsoleting coal and oil, immediately.

In 2009 (?) Dr. Hansen's "Storms," said the answer was closing
1. all US coal plants (25% of world total, about .8 gigatons carbon/year, 600 coal plants, 600 gigawatts worth) by 2020, and
2. all coal plants (2.4 gigatons, 2,400 coal plants, 2,400 gigawatts worth) by 2030.
I find NO ONE as credible or useful as Dr. Hansen.  Do you?

He, and I, and others say a $240/ton carbon price by 2022 would probably do this, by fundamentally changing the market price TO THE TRUE PRICE, and hence the market dynamics, Truly.  And, morally, this should be done.

But can the market shift be done a different way?  Yes.  Anything that has a similar changing of RELATIVE market prices, dynamics will have the same effect.

IS IT BEING DONE A DIFFERENT WAY?  I don't know.  I think it is.  I KNOW it is, to a degree.  I'm trying now to grasp the magnitude of the degree.

Another way:
*  Fee and Dividend / Price of Carbon Wreckage ON THE BILL TODAY shows Wind and Sun as the far cheaper alternative, TODAY. OR....
*  DRAMATIC LOWERING OF WIND AND SUN AND BIOFUEL COSTS TODAY, ACHIEVES THE SAME THING!  As I've said, I know intuitively, quite confirmed in a MUST READ Atlantic article the other day, that Pr. Obama, calculating the near impossibility given a Lifeless, Soul-less US citizenry of 2012, of averting Ecocide with legislation,  Fee and Dividend or otherwise.  I knew he was seeking to win by dramatically accelerating renewable energy costs.
a.  BUT IS HE SUCCEEDING? 
b. ARE OTHER DYNAMICS KICKING IN IN TIME - PLUNGING SOLAR PV PRICING; 4, 8, 16 X WIND TOWER OUTPUTS; yes, and even Natural Gas**** as a 5 year stopgap?????????????

I don't know.  But is it doing some of the job, achieving some of Dr. Hansen's:
A. Take down .8 GT (gigatons) carbon by 2020, and
B.  2.4 GT more by 2030?
YES.  How much?

Within several weeks, for myself, I expect to have a ball-park answer for myself.  I'll post it on this site.

****NO! I have NOT forgotten the most criminally under-reported story of 2012 - that natural gas seepage levels are currently making natural gas EVEN MORE DEADLY TO THE FUTURE THAN COAL!!!  But how feasible is it to dramatically reduce the seepage?  What is the proper legislation?  Is that feasible?  Status?...?


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